David Moenning
Yellen's Task Is To...
With summer vacation season winding down and the Fed's symposium getting underway in Jackson Hole, it is safe to say that those traders at their desks this week are waiting to hear what Janet Yellen has to say on Friday before making any major commitments here.
To review, Ms. Yell…
Jobs Report Surprises to the Upside
All eyes are on the labor department this morning as the "big kahuna" of economic data - aka the Jobs Report - showed that the economy created 255,000 new jobs in the month of July. In market vernacular, this was an upside surprise as the consensus had been for total job creation to come …
Carney Drags Out The Bazooka
The big news this morning is the "bazooka firing" by the Bank of England. With the economic data across the pond having been surprisingly weak since the BREXIT vote, the BOE was forced to reduce its growth estimates by the largest amount in history. In response, the bank has decided to ta…
None The Worse For Wear
Stocks have been stuck in a sideways trading range for 12 consecutive days now. What is noteworthy here is that stocks have not finished with a single move of more than +/-0.5% during this time, which is the longest such streak since 1995. History shows that this type of consolidation pha…
The Reasons Stocks Are Bottled Up
Depending on when you believe the counting should begin, the S&P 500 has now been moving sideways, in an exceptionally tight range of just 0.7%, for 11-13 days. Analysts tell us that this is the tightest such range since 2013 and the third longest such range in history. The question, …
Crude's Move Becoming Rude Again
It's always something with this market, isn't it? Just about the time you assume that the "earnings recession" is ending and that investors are looking forward to better days, something always seems to crop up that causes the worries to return.
Although stocks have been strong in …
Two More Indicators Turn Green
I got a late start this morning so I'll get right to it. On this fine Thursday morning, it looks like global markets are (a) digesting the Fed statement, which appears to have been not quite as hawkish as had been feared, (b) waiting on the BOJ decision, and (c) dealing with another onsla…
Waiting on the Fed
The recent price action in the stock market reminds us that the dog days of summer are upon us. A time when most traders are dealing with family vacations and/or focusing on keeping that little white ball in the short grass. And given that recent joyride to the upside has created a pretty…
A Reason To Favor The Bulls
Although the S&P 500 remains 8.4% higher than the post-BREXIT panic low seen on June 27, there can be little arguing the fact that the rally has stalled out over the last week or so. After blasting 8.2% in just 12 trading session, both the Dow and S&P have moved mostly sideways si…