David Moenning
Fed Decision, Inflation Data, EPS, and Most Importantly...
We are on the road heading back home to Colorado this morning, so I'm going to keep this brief. The key focus in the markets has returned to the spread of COVID as new lockdowns have been announced in places like Austria and Germany. With cases on the rise again here in the U.S., investor…
Market Model Update: 11.15.21
With winter starting to find its way to Colorado, my wife and I decided to head to the desert to enjoy another couple weeks of summer weather. As such, I'm going to let the indicators do the talking this week and next.
So, let's get the week started with a review of the "state of …
Reasons For The Rally
That giant hissing sound you may hear at the corner of Broad and Wall these days is the air escaping the bear camp's balloon. Cutting to the chase, the bulls now look to be in stampede mode and have been trampling their opponents on a daily basis.
While everybody knows that the cu…
Looking On The Bright Side
The key data points the markets received were mixed last week on both the economic and earnings fronts. For example, while Consumer Confidence was up, the first read of Q3 GDP was weaker than expected. And while the likes of Amazon (AMZN), Starbucks (SBUX), and Apple (AAPL) reports disapp…
All About The Expectations
The S&P 500 closed out the week just off fresh all-time highs. But, to many investors, the rally is definitely a head-scratcher. So, if you find yourself wondering how stocks can be correcting lower one minute and then back at all-time highs the next, here's my quick take on the situa…
Market Model Review: 10.18.21
The onset of earnings season appears to have energized the bulls as the S&P 500 finished the week closer to all-time highs than the recent lows. To be sure, the major indices remain entrenched in a trading range. But with some good news on the economic front (Core PPI was reported bel…
Looking Ahead: The Correction Will End When...
It is said that stock market corrections are only "normal and healthy" until you are in the middle of one. The problem is it can be tough to see the bright side of the macro picture when volatility begins spiking, prices start to crater (and then recover, and then crater again), and all k…
Market Model Review 10.11.21
As a reminder I've decided to make an adjustment to the publishing schedule of my blog/oftentimes meandering market missive. Going forward, the plan is to publish a "Model Review" report on Monday mornings. This will be the same group of models that you have come to know over the years. T…
Two Charts Explain The Action
Here we go again. Apparently the fast money traders and their computers have decided that another fast-moving, violent rotation in the stock market is needed here. So, it's everybody out of the pool in tech in favor of players going all-in on the reopening/value stocks. Got it.
To…