Daily State of the Markets
Here's Hoping Santa Makes The Trip
It was a very busy weekend in St. Louis, visiting our grandson, daughter and son-in-law, so I'm going to keep the subjective side of this report short and let the models and indicators do most of the talking. But first, let me say that watching a two-year old tear into presents is about a…
Was That The Soybean Bottom?
It was another wild ride on Wall Street yesterday. Stocks stumbled hard out of the gate, following the lead of most global markets. By 11:00am EST, the DJIA was down more than 500 points, had broken below the October lows, and appeared to be heading toward the next important level on the …
The Good News: Valuations Are Improving
Due to system maintenance, updates to several key data/models in our indicator boards were not available over the weekend. Thus, our weekly review of market indicators will be postponed until tomorrow morning. But as the title of this morning's missive indicates, there is some good news t…
All's Well That Ends Well, Right?
The financial press reported that stocks remained "volatile" on Thursday. But since the Dow ended the day with a loss of "only" 79 points and the S&P 500 fell just 4, the attitude appeared to be, all's well that ends well.
However, at 11:28 am EST, all was definitely NOT well …
Tariff Man Set The Stage, Then The Machines Took Over
I opined after Monday's "relief rally" that the move had been a bit underwhelming and that uncertainty appeared to have crept back into the market. By Tuesday morning, traders began to realize that Trump may have over-tweeted the trade "deal" and the uncertainty creep was starting to look…
Is Uncertainty Back In The Mix So Soon?
While it may sound strange, perhaps the best word to describe the market action on Monday is, disappointing. Yes, the Dow Jones Industrial Average popped 288 points. The S&P 500 gained 1.1%. The NASDAQ 100 surged 1.5%. And oil jumped 5%. Yet, based on the early indications from the fu…
Fears Fading Away As Santa Loads His Sleigh
Unless you've been living in a cave or don't have access to a TV, computer, smart phone, or even a newspaper, you likely know that Presidents Xi Jingping and Donald Trump laid the groundwork for a trade deal Saturday night in Buenos Aires. Generally referred to as a "truce" or cease fire …
One Worry Removed
It didn't take the news-reading algos long to find what they were looking for in Jerome Powell's speech yesterday. And to his credit, the Fed Chairman didn't make it difficult for either the computers or mere mortal analysts to understand what he was trying to communicate.
The bot…
Is Some Hope Creeping Into The Stock Market?
Don't look now fans, but there might be some hope creeping into the stock market. With just 23 trading days left in the year, there seems to be some hope that we've seen the bottom of the recent pullback.
To be sure, two consecutive green bars on the charts of the major indices do…
2018: A Tough Row To Hoe
For most investors, 2018 is turning out to be a tough row to hoe. Suddenly, nobody is talking about global synchronized growth, low inflation, the benefits of tax cuts, and 20% earnings growth. No, all that is now so 2017. Now investors are focused on slowing global growth, rising rates, …